Future Innovative Clean Energy Producer Sees Unusual Call Buying
Net Power (NPWR) shares jumped late in trading on Friday despite a weak market tape and traded 20X daily call volume as 4000 January $10 calls bought at $0.65 all the way up to $1.15 sending IV sharply higher. NPWR shares recently retraced back to the mid-November level where shares ripped higher on 11/12 after reporting Q3 results. The NET Power Cycle is designed to achieve clean, reliable and low-cost electricity generation through NET Power’s patented highly recuperative oxy-combustion process.
NET Power is a clean energy technology company that has developed a novel power generation system designed to produce clean, reliable and low-cost electricity from natural gas while capturing virtually all atmospheric emissions. The NET Power Cycle is designed to inherently capture CO2 while producing virtually no air pollutants such as SOX, NOX, and other particulates. It is nearly immune to differences in altitude, humidity and temperature and can be a net water producer rather than consumer, which can facilitate project siting and operation in a variety of climates. It can operate as a traditional baseload power plant, providing reliable electricity to the grid at capacity factors targeted to be above 90%. It can also complement intermittent renewables, providing clean dispatchable electricity that can be programmed on demand at the request of power grid operators and according to market needs, while demonstrating substantial improvements in effectiveness, affordability and environmental performance as compared to existing carbon capture technologies for power generation. It leverages existing natural gas infrastructure and avoids issues of generation capacity and grid transmission overbuild created by other technologies, helping to further reduce system-wide decarbonization costs. NET Power plans to license its technology through offering plant designs ranging from industrial-scale configurations between 25-115 MW net electric output to utility-scale units of up to 300 MW net electric output capacity. NET Power’s potential customers include electric utilities, oil and gas companies, midstream oil and gas companies, technology companies, and industrial facilities, both in domestic and international markets. NET Power has engaged in active dialogue with potential customers in each of these industries. NET Power’s end-markets can be broken down into three general categories: baseload generation, dispatchable generation and industrial applications.
Over the next several years, NET Power plans to conduct additional research and equipment validation testing campaigns at its Demonstration Plant and construct its first utility-scale plant. NET Power will begin purchasing initial long-lead materials for the first utility-scale plant in 2024 and targets initial power generation between the second half of 2027 and the first half of 2028. NET Power intends to deploy its technology in the United States and around the world by leveraging experience gained from the Demonstration Plant as well as from the support and expertise of NET Power’s current owners, including OXY, BHES, Constellation and SK Group. NET Power believes many customers will seek its dispatchable technology to balance the intermittency of renewable generation. Potential industrial customers, such as direct air capture facilities, steel facilities, chemical plants, and hydrogen production facilities, include those that have significant 24-hour energy needs and goals to decarbonize. NET Power’s technology can provide the necessary clean, reliable, low-cost electricity and heat energy to these facilities as well.
NET Power believes that the NET Power Cycle can serve as a key enabling platform for a low-carbon future, addressing shortfalls inherent to alternative options while contributing to an overall lower system-wide cost of decarbonization. NET Power believes that through its innovative process, it can provide a lower cost of electricity, reduction and in some cases elimination of environmental impacts related to thermal power use (air pollution, water use, land use and deforestation), reliability and dispatchability contributing to energy security and lower costs as well as an ability to achieve required carbon reduction targets. NET Power believes the build-out of the NET Power Cycle will provide the world with clean, reliable and low-cost energy.
NPWR has a market cap of $2.25B and not really producing revenues/earnings at this stage as a more futuristic play, trading 4X cash with a clean balance sheet. NET Power presents the lowest cost, quickest to market option to provide clean, affordable, and reliable power by leveraging clean, cheap, and abundant natural gas. NPWR held an Investor Day in September and has limited analyst coverage at this point. NPWR has an interesting ownership structure with OXY owning 42%, CEG owning 17%, SK owning 15%, Baker Hughes 5%, Rice Family 5% and the Public/Private owning just 17%. There is a massive opportunity for NPWR to play significant role in North American energy mix by 2040. NPWR should soon announce the cost estimate for Project Permian, a potential near-term catalyst.