Hawk’s Vision
OptionHawk’s thoughts on markets, finance, trading, and life.
Valspar (VAL) Options Activity Signal into Takeover Announcement
On March 20th, 2016 Sherwin Williams (SHW) announced an $11.3B deal for Valspar (VAL) at $113/share cash with Valspar having closed at $83.83. VAL was a name consistently highlighted to clients with unusual options activity. Key Takeaways: Multiple Days of ITM and OTM...
Time Warner (TWX) Upside Calls Attractive with Further Re-Org. Potential
Time Warner (TWX) shares have been fairly quiet with many of the top media names like Disney (DIS) and CBS Corp (CBS) rallying sharply to new highs. It’s a name worth a look at this level looking forward the next 6 months, and will break it down below on each degree...
Categorizing the Types of Options Flow Analysis and the Research Process
The strategy of trading options flow has become a lot more popular since I posted that article, but now to a point where there is a lot of sloppy work, and most of it is focused on the what instead of the why. This has caused a push for quantity over quality, hundreds...
Trading Inverted Implied Volatility Skew with Vertical Call Spreads
A discussion today on Twitter led me to thinking this could be a helpful topic to discuss… It is Friday, so will keep this short, and hopefully sweet. I often will note "inverted" or "bullish" skew when discussing a stock’s options IV (Implied Volatility) profile. I...
Trading Stocks Post-Earnings Based on Options Activity
As Hurricane Sandy bears down on New England I figure I had some time to put together a quick educational post with two examples from last week, focusing on trading stocks/options following an earnings reaction.I often utilize my analysis of options activity to...
Methods to My Madness – Trading Options Flow
As many of my followers know by now I monitor the options market for large Institutional trades or unusual trading (5X+ daily average) in a stock’s options. I field a lot of questions about this style of trading and wanted to write up an overview to better explain my...
Salesforce.com (CRM) is Not Rich on Valuation – Shorting It is Dangerous
Similar to the same types that like to say Amazon.com (AMZN) is rich on valuation, the same is said about Salesforce.com (CRM), and usually the same indicator is used to form this opinion, the P/E ratio.Salesforce.com (CRM) trades 74X forward earnings so it...
Forget Direction! Trading Consolidation via Long Volatility Strategies
One of the many advantages of trading options is that you do not need to pick a direction to have a winning trade, you can use indicators and statistics to set up high probability strategies that are Delta Neutral.Each week in the Options Hunter Newsletter I put out...
Options Hawk Subscription Products: What It Is and What It Is Not
With the markets being closed for President’s Day I have some free time to clarify the Options Hawk subscription products.First, any one that has used my service can validate that it is the single best full-service trading product in the market with an options focus. ...