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    The premier site for active option and equity traders, providing the fastest, most thorough, and accurate options analytics in the industry.  OptionsHawk is the first, and best, site to provide real-time analysis of Institutional and Unusual options trades.

    OptionsHawk provides live intraday options analysis, allowing you to trade with the “smart money”, as I monitor large institutional trades and unusual options activity. 

    The options market has consistently been a leading indicator of future price movement in stocks. I have consistently been able to predict large stock moves due to takeovers, earnings, technical breaks, and other events that move stocks.

    My ability to combine options activity with years of experience in technical and fundamental analysis give me a competitive advantage to find explosive trading opportunities that cannot be found elsewhere.

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  • Market Views

    9/22/14

    Technical View:  

    The S&P closed the week with a doji, indecisive candle as it tried to breakout past 2,010 with a measured move target of 2,040. The Friday low of 2,006.6 is now to be watched as a move below can start a pullback to 1,992, and below that aims at 1,975. RSI and MACD bearish divergences exist with that push to new highs, not confirming the move. The current pattern looks very similar to early April 2014 and resulted in a move back to the 20 week EMA, currently near 1,950, so unless Fridays high of 2,019.25 is broken, a short bias into the end of the month and October.

     

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey showed bullish sentiment up 1.9% to 42.2%, above the 39% historical average, and bearish sentiment down 3.6% to 23%, well below the 30.5% historical average. The NAAIM Exposure Index came in at 67.08 last week, up from the week prior, but not considered elevated. Fund flows from last week showed $6.7B of inflows to equity funds, the largest in 4 weeks. The CNN Fear & Greed Index closed the week at 34, considered in a state of Fear, and CBOE Skew made a 2 year high, so not much complacency in the options market and option traders appear to be preparing for an equity market correction. As of Fridays close 379 new highs compared to 273 new lows, not great breadth you would expect to see with Indices recently making lifetime highs. Only 45.7% of stocks are trading above the SMA50 and 57.5% above the SMA200. The CBOE Equity Put/Call closed the week at 0.55, near a multi-week low, and Index Put/Call at 0.80 also low. NYSE cumulative A/D also did not confirm the new highs, while NYMO at -28.5 considers the market oversold still. The NYSE Summation did not participate in the recent push higher and closed down at 248.2.

  • Daily Freebies

    September 23rd, 2014

    Dollar General (DG) shares dipped back into its gap today, but shares moving higher this afternoon after 25,000 November $67.50 calls bought to open at the $0.95 offer at the PHLX on a wide bid-ask spread, aggressive buyer. DG is pursuing Family Dollar (FDO) and is a large holding for Glenview, Tiger Global, Soroban Capital, Lone Pine Capital, Maverick Capital, and Third Point LLC.

    NiSource (NI) shares jumping after 10,000 November $42 calls bought to open at $0.45 to $0.60 offers, a name with hot October call buys last week, and an expected M&A target.

    CBS Corp (CBS) buyer of 20,000 March 2015 $57.50/$67.50 call spreads at $2.47 with shares reversing off expected support this morning and attempting to bottom.

    Spansion (CODE) large buyer of 4,500 November $30 calls at $0.75/$0.80 as bullish positioning continues in this name that has held up very well

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  • Recent Highlights

    RECENT HIGHLIGHTED TRADES

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    * Closed Citrix Systems (CTXS) Call Spread +126.7% on 4/24