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    The premier site for active option and equity traders, providing the fastest, most thorough, and accurate options analytics in the industry.  OptionsHawk is the first, and best, site to provide real-time analysis of Institutional and Unusual options trades.

    OptionsHawk provides live intraday options analysis, allowing you to trade with the “smart money”, as I monitor large institutional trades and unusual options activity. 

    The options market has consistently been a leading indicator of future price movement in stocks. I have consistently been able to predict large stock moves due to takeovers, earnings, technical breaks, and other events that move stocks.

    My ability to combine options activity with years of experience in technical and fundamental analysis give me a competitive advantage to find explosive trading opportunities that cannot be found elsewhere.

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  • Market Views

    10/20/14

    Technical View:  

    The S&P last week touched weekly cloud support on its lows at 1,820 and managed to recover 65+ points from the level, a weekly hammer right at its 50 week MA. Into this week a,1875 and 1,855 are intermediate areas of support, though if broken would target a re-test of the low and likely further weakness down to at least 1,800. The rally failed right at a prior rally failure and near the 8 day EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of the selloff, so resistance levels of 1,900 and 1,925 are in focus into this week. An RSI trend breakout on the daily could be meaningful, so above 40.

     

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey showed bullish sentiment rose 2.8% to 42.7%, above the 39% historical average, surprising considering the market action, while bearish sentiment fell 2.7% to 33.7%, above its 30.5% historical average. Meanwhile, the NAAIM Exposure Index dropped to 9.97, implying nearly a market neutral stance among active managers, and the lowest reading since September 2011. The most recent fund flow data showed $2.8B inflows into equity funds, snapping a 2 week streak of outflows. As of Fridays close 119 new highs compared to 63 new lows, a strong reversal in that indicator, while still just 24.4% of stocks are trading above the 50 day MA. The CBOE Equity Put/Call ended the week at 0.71, Neutral reading after a recent spike to 0.91 happened concurrently with the market lows, while Index Put/Call at 1.7 hit a multi-month high. NYMO finished at 10.1, no longer an oversold market. NYSE Summation at -625.4 looks to start to be turning and needs to cross above its 5 EMA for a buy signal in markets.

  • Daily Freebies

    October 22nd, 2014

    Boeing (BA) weak response to earnings reversing from up more than 2% to down 3%, price-action that may be indicating we are at a peak for jet demand, and seeing buyers active for 2,800 Feb. 2015 $120 puts today.

    Monsanto (MON) bearish spread with shares well off recent lows, the November $115 puts bought 6,000X at $2.62 and the Jan. 2015 $115 calls sold 4,000X at $3.26.

    NPS Pharma (NPSP) buyers of 1,225 February 2015 $36 OTM calls $2.10, speculative plays looking for Shire (SHPG) buyout

    Semis (SMH) looking for fade at 50 day EMA, buyer 4,000 Dec. $50 puts $2.20 to open

  • Strategy of the Month
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